Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.581359 0.642987 0.711124 0.792560 0.887925 0.996917 1.132146
2025-10-12 0.492964 0.578412 0.681473 0.817220 0.994905 1.224978 1.555019
2025-10-19 0.434044 0.528691 0.649468 0.819402 1.060282 1.403251 1.957422
2025-10-26 0.385342 0.481766 0.609822 0.798907 1.083662 1.520945 2.302395
2025-11-02 0.347059 0.442703 0.573734 0.774815 1.093104 1.614506 2.634806
2025-11-09 0.318043 0.412619 0.545667 0.756800 1.106180 1.713636 3.011493
2025-11-16 0.294510 0.387677 0.521780 0.740956 1.118440 1.812069 3.426308
2025-11-23 0.275166 0.366897 0.501655 0.727861 1.132116 1.915037 3.899026
2025-11-30 0.265172 0.358840 0.499743 0.743825 1.199887 2.142815 4.814493
2025-12-07 0.252021 0.344905 0.487192 0.739792 1.228791 2.295585 5.626076
2025-12-14 0.240205 0.332099 0.475216 0.735099 1.255210 2.450230 6.567937
2025-12-21 0.226170 0.314907 0.454707 0.712631 1.241227 2.502633 7.190329
2025-12-28 0.222664 0.314373 0.462195 0.743789 1.349712 2.916385 9.823494
2026-01-04 0.217373 0.310660 0.464083 0.764845 1.441617 3.331011 13.298939
2026-01-11 0.209442 0.302074 0.456759 0.766728 1.489082 3.635393 16.918492
2026-01-18 0.199094 0.288860 0.440256 0.748065 1.482405 3.759978 19.626387
2026-01-25 0.189108 0.275722 0.423010 0.726110 1.463678 3.837466 22.267052
2026-02-01 0.180675 0.264776 0.409027 0.709677 1.456849 3.960007 25.982985
2026-02-08 0.173133 0.254975 0.396523 0.695211 1.453035 4.096293 30.699923
2026-02-15 0.166455 0.246337 0.385639 0.683246 1.454289 4.257915 37.029850
2026-02-22 0.163644 0.244212 0.386728 0.697831 1.534224 4.815340 56.966714
2026-03-01 0.158739 0.238190 0.380045 0.694147 1.559869 5.140081 77.962591
2026-03-08 0.154069 0.232363 0.373381 0.689860 1.583127 5.473987 109.893280